Dollar Set for A Second Continuous Monthly Loss

A Second Continuous Monthly Loss

The dollar index of major currencies slipped 0.03% to 90.058 at 1127 GMT. On Friday, data revealing a key gauge of U.S. inflation at a 29-year high briefly raised the dollar to a two-week high.

The euro was low at $1.2189, off Friday’s low of $1.2133. The British pound trimmed 0.1% lower at $1.4178.

In holiday-thinned trade, investors considered the influence on U.S. assets of growing price requirements and a dovish Fed. Notwithstanding rising inflation, markets don’t anticipate a rate hike well into the back end of 2022.

The core PCE price index jumped 3.1% on Friday, the most significant yearly gain after July 1992, due to a recovery from the epidemic and various supply interruptions.

The market considers the overall inflation levels in the U.S. to be transitional. Next year’s U.S. inflation will predominate at 2.5%, Ulrich Leuchtmann, Commerzbank’s head of FX and commodity research, signed in a note.

That does not make it any more accessible pricing USD, he said. Until we have more evidence, the dollar is likely to have found a good balance at prevailing levels.

Speculators raised their bets versus the dollar last week, with U.S. dollar short positions running a 2-1/2 month high.

The Chinese yuan ran a three-year high versus the dollar before falling back following a chorus of warnings from Chinese officials facing speculative bets on the currency.

The offshore yuan traded hands at 6.3741 per dollar after reaching its highest after May 2018 of 6.3553 per dollar.

In volatile cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was 3.7% higher at $36,978. Ether increased 7.7% to $2,576.

The week’s main event will hold U.S. payrolls on Friday, with median estimates at 650,000. However, the result is unpredictable following April’s shockingly low 266,000 gain.

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